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Safe passage to wet Netherlands



Today’s Turffontein meeting includes the performance of the second leg of the WSB Triple Crown and Wilgerbosdrift Triple Tiara in the form of the Grade 1 WSB SA Classic and the Grade 1 Wilgerbosdrift SA Fillies Classic, both over 1800 meters on the Standside- track. These two phenomenal races are supported by the Grade 2 Hawaii Stakes over 1400m, as well as the Grade 3 Acacia Stakes over 1600m for fillies and mares and the registered Aquanaut Handicap over 2400m.

This encounter is filled with quality and the two horses looking to claim all three legs are Safe Passage and Rain In Holland. Both were very impressive in winning the first stages and although we will go into more detail later, they certainly set the standard. I’ve had a few winners in the past week and I’m going to continue the trend even though it looks extremely competitive today.


For the full version of the Wednesday edition of Racing Express, as found in The Vanir-exodus Click here.


I have four rides in the day, but I’m lucky enough to have rides in the two big races. I am happy with where my horses are and their work has been good so hopefully with some luck in the running they will be there. Last week saw our best bet, Defender Of Rights, win well, so here are some more winners. Race 1 is a Juvenile Plate for fillies over 1000m and of the horses that have raced Miss Cool will be hard to beat.

She won a good flight about 10 days ago and is in the best shape on offer. Dame Twining could be in the money after a few fair runs. There are some very well-bred horses with no race, so betting is your best guide to their odds. Race 2 is a Juvenile Plate over 1000m and again the bets will be your best guide to the odds of the unrace horses but from those that have run I think What A Tiger will have all the tricks. Set To Go is in good form and if he is near his peak fitness he will be there. VarPark also ran well the first time and should be there again.

Race 3 is a Maiden Plate for fillies and mares over 1160m and I like the look of Mayenne running a squatter the last time she went down a short head. She has had a little break and when she is close to peak condition she will be hard to beat. Bonnaroo clearly has aptitude and is coming out of a hiatus too, but when she’s ready she needs to be respected. Mercurial Jet is another one to consider after a good last run. These three horses should get you through all the bets. Race 4 is a Maiden Plate over 1160m and I think Chyavana will have all the tricks. He had a nice race last time and just got hit and I think he will go better again.

Vengeance Forever has its first run for Sean Tarry and must be respected, while Magic Dancer disappointed slightly last time, but in previous form it will be there. These horses should help you through all the bets again. Race 5 is the Grade 2 Hawaii Stakes over 1400m and I make this a race in three between the class horse and my first roster of MK’s Pride, Bingwa and Al Muthana. The latter really impressed me when I rode it last time and although he is out at the weights I am confident he will make his presence felt. Bingwa is a class horse and when he comes back to his best he will be there.

MK’s Pride was below par last time, but I’m confident it will bounce back and fight this out. Race 6 is the Grade 1 Wilgerbosdrift SA Fillies Classic over 1800m and I ride with Look Yourself. She has always been able to show us a lot and is in good shape, but this is her toughest test yet and we will be happy with a place. Rain In Holland sets the standard after a very impressive final victory. She will love the step up in trip and has everything in store for her and continues to be the filly to beat. Desert Miracle is very interesting after it was very popular last time.

There’s a question mark about her stamina, but when she calms down, I think she’ll see. I’ll be surprised if these two horses don’t fight the finish line. Race 7 is the other headliner on the map, the Grade 1 WSB SA Classic over 1800m, and I’m running Super Excited who finished in the Guineas last time. It’s a nice horse, but it looks like there are a few in this race, so I’m hoping for a seat again. Safe Passage was a brilliant winner of the Guineas, which was his first race after winning the Dingaans so impressively. He is currently Joburg’s best three-year-old horse and will take any blows. Pyromaniac ran well last time and is in danger, while Outo hedarkness is the other horse to be included in wider bets.

Race 8 is the Grade 3 Acacia Stakes over 1600m and I’m riding Rosaprima which definitely has a chance in this lineup. This is her toughest test yet but she clearly has aptitude and I hope she’s in this class so she should be involved in all betting. I really like the look of the three year old fillies in the form of my first selection, Bon Vivant and Hollywoodbound. My roster seems to be improving with each run and I’m sure there will be more to come. Admire Me won very well last time and was able to follow, even though she was beaten by Bon Vivant with two runs back.

However, Admire Me is now 3.5kg better off for a 2.40m loss so I’d include her in your bets. Sentbydestiny is another one to add to all bets after a good last win. Race 9 is the registered Aquanaut Handicap over 2400m and I am riding Super Handsome who comes in with a light weight and has a seat chance. Black Thorn ran very well in his last start and low weight is the horse to beat and is my value bet too. I think he could be a banker in smaller bets. Shangani ran well after a break last time and should be respected as the biggest danger, while Smoking Hot and Imperial Ruby are others to consider for wider bets.

Race 10 is a fitness record for fillies and mares over 1160m and I really think Big Burn will be the horse to beat. She is in good form and had some bad luck last time. Grade 1 winner Under Your Spell was very disappointing last time and I expect she will bounce back and put in a good race. Bold Act and Homely Girl are others for wider stakes. Race 11 is a Maiden Plate over 1600m and my best guess on the map comes out in the form of Carl Vinson.

He is an impressive person who will appreciate the step up in the journey. He’s had a little break, but the fact that Mr Tarry went straight to a 1600m race suggests he’s ready. Forward Spell is the biggest danger after a good final run, while Never To Clever is another one to consider.

BEST GUESS:

Race 11 No. 8 Carl Vinson

VALUE BET:

Race 9 No 8 Black Thorn PICK 6 R900 Leg 1: 1, 2, 9 Leg 2: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10 Leg 3: 1, 2 Leg 4:1 Leg 5: 3, 5, 8, 10,11 Leg 6: 6, 7, 8

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